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Texas housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$296,424−1.4% YoY · prices are falling
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 22% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$64,259About 0.8× the local median income ($79,723): affordable for a typical household
Days on market68 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months−0.2%Zillow expects prices to stay about flat

The typical home in Texas is worth $296,424, down 1.4% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $286,068, so the area is 3.6% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 68 days to sell, listings are up 0% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to fall about 0.2% over the next year. A household needs about $64,259 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $79,723. In the latest IRS figures, 111,944 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$296,424
Change in 1 year−1.4%
Overvalued %+3.6%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$286,068
Change in 5 years+10.1%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months−0.2%
Home value to income3.7×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$1,606
Income needed to afford it$64,259
Property tax rate1.49%

Rent and investing

HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,493

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+0.5%
Days on market68
Listings with a price cut21.9%
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Homes for sale135,141
Pending sales per 100 listings24
Asking price per sq ft$179

People and jobs

Median household income$79,723
Population change (1 year)+1.2%
Unemployment rate5.3%
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Population31,709,821
Income adjusted for cost of living$82,104
Net moves in (IRS)+111,944
Cost of living (US = 100)97.1

Schools, risk and environment

FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)91.0
Unhealthy air days a year19
Flood risk score89.4
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Wildfire risk score83.6
Walkability (1 to 20)8.8
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Texas overvalued?
Home prices in Texas are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $286,068, so the area is 3.6% overvalued.
Is Texas a buyer's or seller's market?
Texas is a buyer's market: homes take about 68 days to sell, listings are up 0% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Texas?
Home values in Texas are down 1.4% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is −0.2%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Texas?
A household needs about $64,259 a year to afford the typical home in Texas at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $79,723.

Metro areas

Counties

See every chart for Texas on the map