Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources
Typical home value$317,400−2.3% YoY · prices are falling
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 22% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$68,806About 0.7× the local median income ($96,423): affordable for a typical household
Days on market85 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months−1.3%Zillow expects prices to dip slightly
The typical home in Medina County, TX is worth $317,400, down 2.3% from a year ago. That is well below what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $397,644, so the area is 20.2% undervalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 85 days to sell, listings are up 20% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to fall about 1.3% over the next year. A household needs about $68,806 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $96,423. Typical rent is $1,574 a month, or $2,024 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 665 more people moved in than out.
Home value over time
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.
Prices and affordability
Typical home value
$317,400
Change in 1 year
−2.3%
Overvalued %
−20.2%
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Fair home value
$397,644
Change in 5 years
+2.7%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months
−1.3%
Home value to income
3.3×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)
$1,720
Income needed to afford it
$68,806
Property tax rate
1.32%
Rent and investing
Typical rent
$1,574
Typical rent for houses
$2,024
Price-to-rent ratio
16.8×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms
$1,231
Gross rental yield
5.95%
Cap rate (estimate)
3.87%
Market activity
Listings vs a year ago
+19.6%
Days on market
85
Listings with a price cut
22.1%
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Homes for sale
451
Pending sales per 100 listings
17
Asking price per sq ft
$191
People and jobs
Median household income
$96,423
Population change (1 year)
+2.3%
Unemployment rate
3.0%
Show 4 more
Population
56,881
Income adjusted for cost of living
$101,819
Net moves in (IRS)
+665
Cost of living (US = 100)
94.7
Schools, risk and environment
School rating (1 to 10)
6.5
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)
68.7
Flood risk score
77.2
Show 3 more
Wildfire risk score
85.2
Walkability (1 to 20)
5.6
Road, rail and air noise
53 dB
Questions people ask
Is Medina County, TX overvalued?
Home prices in Medina County, TX are well below what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $397,644, so the area is 20.2% undervalued.
Is Medina County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
Medina County, TX is a buyer's market: homes take about 85 days to sell, listings are up 20% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Medina County, TX?
Home values in Medina County, TX are down 2.3% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is −1.3%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Medina County, TX?
A household needs about $68,806 a year to afford the typical home in Medina County, TX at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $96,423.