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Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$414,273−4.3% YoY · prices are falling fast
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 26% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$89,806About 0.9× the local median income ($100,240): affordable for a typical household
Days on market84 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate
Next 12 months−2.4%Zillow expects prices to dip slightly

The typical home in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX is worth $414,273, down 4.3% from a year ago. That is slightly below what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $439,076, so the area is 5.6% undervalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 84 days to sell, listings are up 1% from a year ago, 26% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to fall about 2.4% over the next year. A household needs about $89,806 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $100,240. Typical rent is $1,603 a month, or $2,285 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 16,734 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K$500K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$414,273
Change in 1 year−4.3%
Overvalued %−5.6%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$439,076
Change in 5 years−14.2%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months−2.4%
Home value to income4.1×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,245
Income needed to afford it$89,806
Property tax rate1.53%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,603
Typical rent for houses$2,285
Price-to-rent ratio21.5×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,817
Gross rental yield4.64%
Cap rate (estimate)3.02%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+1.3%
Days on market84
Listings with a price cut26.2%
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Homes for sale11,631
Pending sales per 100 listings26
Asking price per sq ft$226

People and jobs

Median household income$100,240
Population change (1 year)+2.1%
Unemployment rate4.3%
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Population2,620,945
Income adjusted for cost of living$102,181
Net moves in (IRS)+16,734
Cost of living (US = 100)98.1

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.0
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)93.6
Unhealthy air days a year6
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Flood risk score94.9
Wildfire risk score88.3
Walkability (1 to 20)9.0
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX overvalued?
Home prices in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX are slightly below what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $439,076, so the area is 5.6% undervalued.
Is Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX is a buyer's market: homes take about 84 days to sell, listings are up 1% from a year ago, 26% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX?
Home values in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX are down 4.3% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is −2.4%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX?
A household needs about $89,806 a year to afford the typical home in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $100,240.

Counties in this metro

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