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Jefferson County, TX housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$176,616+4.1% YoY · prices are rising fast
Market right nowBalanced, leaning sellersFewer homes for sale than last year, 20% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$38,287About 0.6× the local median income ($59,997): affordable for a typical household
Days on market68 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months+1.9%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Jefferson County, TX is worth $176,616, up 4.1% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $175,839, so the area is 0.4% overvalued. It is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 68 days to sell, listings are down 14% from a year ago, 20% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 1.9% over the next year. A household needs about $38,287 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $59,997. Typical rent is $1,290 a month, or $1,491 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 1,131 more people moved out than in.

Home value over time

$0K$50K$100K$150K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$176,616
Change in 1 year+4.1%
Overvalued %+0.4%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$175,839
Change in 5 years+6.1%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+1.9%
Home value to income2.9×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$957
Income needed to afford it$38,287
Property tax rate1.53%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,290
Typical rent for houses$1,491
Price-to-rent ratio11.4×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,218
Gross rental yield8.77%
Cap rate (estimate)5.70%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago−14.3%
Days on market68
Listings with a price cut20.4%
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Homes for sale762
Pending sales per 100 listings29
Asking price per sq ft$127

People and jobs

Median household income$59,997
Population change (1 year)−0.1%
Unemployment rate6.3%
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Population254,321
Income adjusted for cost of living$66,663
Net moves in (IRS)−1,131
Cost of living (US = 100)90.0

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)4.1
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)95.7
Unhealthy air days a year3
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Flood risk score91.3
Wildfire risk score92.4
Walkability (1 to 20)7.1
Road, rail and air noise53 dB

Questions people ask

Is Jefferson County, TX overvalued?
Home prices in Jefferson County, TX are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $175,839, so the area is 0.4% overvalued.
Is Jefferson County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
Jefferson County, TX is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 68 days to sell, listings are down 14% from a year ago, 20% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Jefferson County, TX?
Home values in Jefferson County, TX are up 4.1% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +1.9%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Jefferson County, TX?
A household needs about $38,287 a year to afford the typical home in Jefferson County, TX at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $59,997.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Jefferson County (open on the map)

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