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Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$448,896−0.5% YoY · prices are flat
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 21% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$97,311About 1.0× the local median income ($92,957): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market63 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months+0.2%Zillow expects prices to stay about flat

The typical home in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN is worth $448,896, down 0.5% from a year ago. That is well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $402,815, so the area is 11.4% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 63 days to sell, listings are up 12% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.2% over the next year. A household needs about $97,311 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $92,957. Typical rent is $1,803 a month, or $2,362 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 13,425 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$448,896
Change in 1 year−0.5%
Overvalued %+11.4%
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Fair home value$402,815
Change in 5 years+18.9%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+0.2%
Home value to income4.8×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,433
Income needed to afford it$97,311
Property tax rate0.50%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,803
Typical rent for houses$2,362
Price-to-rent ratio20.8×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,755
Gross rental yield4.82%
Cap rate (estimate)3.13%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+11.9%
Days on market63
Listings with a price cut21.4%
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Homes for sale12,145
Pending sales per 100 listings32
Asking price per sq ft$259

People and jobs

Median household income$92,957
Population change (1 year)+1.6%
Unemployment rate3.6%
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Population2,197,416
Income adjusted for cost of living$96,529
Net moves in (IRS)+13,425
Cost of living (US = 100)96.3

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.5
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)84.8
Unhealthy air days a year1
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Flood risk score85.7
Wildfire risk score42.6
Walkability (1 to 20)7.6
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN overvalued?
Home prices in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN are well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $402,815, so the area is 11.4% overvalued.
Is Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN a buyer's or seller's market?
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN is a buyer's market: homes take about 63 days to sell, listings are up 12% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN?
Home values in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN are down 0.5% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.2%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN?
A household needs about $97,311 a year to afford the typical home in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $92,957.

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