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Fairfax City, VA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$768,671+2.7% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBalanced, leaning sellers0% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$166,632About 1.3× the local median income ($126,239): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market1 days
Next 12 months+0.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Fairfax City, VA is worth $768,671, up 2.7% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $727,905, so the area is 5.6% overvalued. It is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 1 days to sell, 0% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.6% over the next year. A household needs about $166,632 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $126,239. Typical rent is $2,457 a month, or $3,278 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 199 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K$500K$600K$700K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$768,671
Change in 1 year+2.7%
Overvalued %+5.6%
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Fair home value$727,905
Change in 5 years+21.5%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+0.6%
Home value to income6.1×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$4,166
Income needed to afford it$166,632
Property tax rate0.90%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$2,457
Typical rent for houses$3,278
Price-to-rent ratio26.1×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$2,438
Gross rental yield3.84%
Cap rate (estimate)2.49%

Market activity

Days on market1
Listings with a price cut0.0%
Homes for sale0
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Asking price per sq ft$443

People and jobs

Median household income$126,239
Population change (1 year)+2.8%
Unemployment rate3.3%
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Population26,772
Income adjusted for cost of living$115,922
Net moves in (IRS)+199
Cost of living (US = 100)108.9

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.1
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)5.3
Flood risk score13.5
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Wildfire risk score1.0
Walkability (1 to 20)15.7
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Fairfax City, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Fairfax City, VA are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $727,905, so the area is 5.6% overvalued.
Is Fairfax City, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Fairfax City, VA is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 1 days to sell, 0% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Fairfax City, VA?
Home values in Fairfax City, VA are up 2.7% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Fairfax City, VA?
A household needs about $166,632 a year to afford the typical home in Fairfax City, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $126,239.

Nearby and similar counties

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