Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources
Typical home value$578,429+1.1% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBalanced, leaning buyersMore homes for sale than last year, 21% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$125,391About 1.0× the local median income ($128,291): affordable for a typical household
Days on market37 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate
Next 12 months+0.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly
The typical home in Prince William County, VA is worth $578,429, up 1.1% from a year ago. That is well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $520,823, so the area is 11.1% overvalued. It is a balanced market, leaning toward buyers: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 27% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.6% over the next year. A household needs about $125,391 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $128,291. Typical rent is $2,267 a month, or $3,024 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 2,592 more people moved out than in.
Home value over time
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.
Prices and affordability
Typical home value
$578,429
Change in 1 year
+1.1%
Overvalued %
+11.1%
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Fair home value
$520,823
Change in 5 years
+19.9%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months
+0.6%
Home value to income
4.5×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)
$3,135
Income needed to afford it
$125,391
Property tax rate
0.94%
Rent and investing
Typical rent
$2,267
Typical rent for houses
$3,024
Price-to-rent ratio
21.3×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms
$2,438
Gross rental yield
4.70%
Cap rate (estimate)
3.06%
Market activity
Listings vs a year ago
+27.3%
Days on market
37
Listings with a price cut
20.7%
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Homes for sale
1,007
Pending sales per 100 listings
45
Asking price per sq ft
$252
People and jobs
Median household income
$128,291
Population change (1 year)
+0.9%
Unemployment rate
4.8%
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Population
502,966
Income adjusted for cost of living
$117,806
Net moves in (IRS)
−2,592
Cost of living (US = 100)
108.9
Schools, risk and environment
School rating (1 to 10)
5.8
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)
83.2
Unhealthy air days a year
0
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Flood risk score
88.0
Wildfire risk score
18.2
Walkability (1 to 20)
8.8
Road, rail and air noise
55 dB
Questions people ask
Is Prince William County, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Prince William County, VA are well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $520,823, so the area is 11.1% overvalued.
Is Prince William County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Prince William County, VA is a balanced market, leaning toward buyers: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 27% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Prince William County, VA?
Home values in Prince William County, VA are up 1.1% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Prince William County, VA?
A household needs about $125,391 a year to afford the typical home in Prince William County, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $128,291.