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Fairfax County, VA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-08 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$756,212+1.2% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 21% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$163,931About 1.1× the local median income ($153,889): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market37 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate
Next 12 months+0.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Fairfax County, VA is worth $756,212, up 1.2% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $734,676, so the area is 2.9% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 32% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.6% over the next year. A household needs about $163,931 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $153,889. Typical rent is $2,507 a month, or $3,345 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 9,173 more people moved out than in.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K$500K$600K$700K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$756,212
Change in 1 year+1.2%
Overvalued %+2.9%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$734,676
Change in 5 years+16.9%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+0.6%
Home value to income4.9×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$4,098
Income needed to afford it$163,931
Property tax rate1.00%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$2,507
Typical rent for houses$3,345
Price-to-rent ratio25.1×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$2,438
Gross rental yield3.98%
Cap rate (estimate)2.59%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+32.1%
Days on market37
Listings with a price cut20.7%
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Homes for sale2,479
Pending sales per 100 listings39
Asking price per sq ft$359

People and jobs

Median household income$153,889
Population change (1 year)+0.7%
Unemployment rate4.2%
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Population1,167,873
Income adjusted for cost of living$141,312
Net moves in (IRS)−9,173
Cost of living (US = 100)108.9

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.6
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)94.7
Unhealthy air days a year1
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Flood risk score97.0
Wildfire risk score34.0
Walkability (1 to 20)12.0
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Fairfax County, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Fairfax County, VA are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $734,676, so the area is 2.9% overvalued.
Is Fairfax County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Fairfax County, VA is a buyer's market: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 32% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Fairfax County, VA?
Home values in Fairfax County, VA are up 1.2% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Fairfax County, VA?
A household needs about $163,931 a year to afford the typical home in Fairfax County, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $153,889.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Fairfax County (open on the map)

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