Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources
Typical home value$802,232+1.3% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 21% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$173,907About 1.3× the local median income ($133,394): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market37 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months+0.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly
The typical home in Arlington County, VA is worth $802,232, up 1.3% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $756,535, so the area is 6.0% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 19% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.6% over the next year. A household needs about $173,907 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $133,394. Typical rent is $2,680 a month, or $3,575 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 1,811 more people moved out than in.
Home value over time
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.
Prices and affordability
Typical home value
$802,232
Change in 1 year
+1.3%
Overvalued %
+6.0%
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Fair home value
$756,535
Change in 5 years
+10.6%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months
+0.6%
Home value to income
6.0×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)
$4,348
Income needed to afford it
$173,907
Property tax rate
0.91%
Rent and investing
Typical rent
$2,680
Typical rent for houses
$3,575
Price-to-rent ratio
24.9×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms
$2,438
Gross rental yield
4.01%
Cap rate (estimate)
2.61%
Market activity
Listings vs a year ago
+19.4%
Days on market
37
Listings with a price cut
21.1%
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Homes for sale
609
Pending sales per 100 listings
29
Asking price per sq ft
$470
People and jobs
Median household income
$133,394
Population change (1 year)
+1.8%
Unemployment rate
3.3%
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Population
243,931
Income adjusted for cost of living
$122,492
Net moves in (IRS)
−1,811
Cost of living (US = 100)
108.9
Schools, risk and environment
School rating (1 to 10)
7.1
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)
66.8
Unhealthy air days a year
2
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Flood risk score
73.8
Wildfire risk score
5.7
Walkability (1 to 20)
14.2
Road, rail and air noise
54 dB
Questions people ask
Is Arlington County, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Arlington County, VA are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $756,535, so the area is 6.0% overvalued.
Is Arlington County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Arlington County, VA is a buyer's market: homes take about 37 days to sell, listings are up 19% from a year ago, 21% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Arlington County, VA?
Home values in Arlington County, VA are up 1.3% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Arlington County, VA?
A household needs about $173,907 a year to afford the typical home in Arlington County, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $133,394.