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Erie County, NY housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$295,625+3.4% YoY · prices are rising fast
Market right nowBalanced marketMore homes for sale than last year, 13% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$64,085About 0.9× the local median income ($73,040): affordable for a typical household
Days on market42 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months+2.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Erie County, NY is worth $295,625, up 3.4% from a year ago. That is well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $240,233, so the area is 23.1% overvalued. It is a balanced market: homes take about 42 days to sell, listings are up 34% from a year ago, 13% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 2.6% over the next year. A household needs about $64,085 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $73,040. Typical rent is $1,480 a month, or $1,951 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 3,425 more people moved out than in.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$295,625
Change in 1 year+3.4%
Overvalued %+23.1%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$240,233
Change in 5 years+31.3%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+2.6%
Home value to income4.0×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$1,602
Income needed to afford it$64,085
Property tax rate1.98%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,480
Typical rent for houses$1,951
Price-to-rent ratio16.7×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,423
Gross rental yield6.01%
Cap rate (estimate)3.90%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+34.2%
Days on market42
Listings with a price cut12.9%
Show 3 more
Homes for sale1,529
Pending sales per 100 listings110
Asking price per sq ft$191

People and jobs

Median household income$73,040
Population change (1 year)−0.1%
Unemployment rate4.9%
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Population946,741
Income adjusted for cost of living$76,242
Net moves in (IRS)−3,425
Cost of living (US = 100)95.8

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)5.1
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)97.7
Unhealthy air days a year11
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Flood risk score99.0
Wildfire risk score62.6
Walkability (1 to 20)11.0
Road, rail and air noise53 dB

Questions people ask

Is Erie County, NY overvalued?
Home prices in Erie County, NY are well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $240,233, so the area is 23.1% overvalued.
Is Erie County, NY a buyer's or seller's market?
Erie County, NY is a balanced market: homes take about 42 days to sell, listings are up 34% from a year ago, 13% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Erie County, NY?
Home values in Erie County, NY are up 3.4% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +2.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Erie County, NY?
A household needs about $64,085 a year to afford the typical home in Erie County, NY at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $73,040.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Erie County (open on the map)

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