Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources
Typical home value$455,168−0.9% YoY · prices are falling
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 30% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$98,671About 1.1× the local median income ($90,919): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market59 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months−1.8%Zillow expects prices to dip slightly
The typical home in Maricopa County, AZ is worth $455,168, down 0.9% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $427,466, so the area is 6.5% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 59 days to sell, listings are up 10% from a year ago, 30% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to fall about 1.8% over the next year. A household needs about $98,671 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $90,919. Typical rent is $1,715 a month, or $2,295 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 4,209 more people moved in than out.
Home value over time
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.
Prices and affordability
Typical home value
$455,168
Change in 1 year
−0.9%
Overvalued %
+6.5%
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Fair home value
$427,466
Change in 5 years
+6.6%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months
−1.8%
Home value to income
5.0×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)
$2,467
Income needed to afford it
$98,671
Property tax rate
0.44%
Rent and investing
Typical rent
$1,715
Typical rent for houses
$2,295
Price-to-rent ratio
22.1×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms
$1,734
Gross rental yield
4.52%
Cap rate (estimate)
2.94%
Market activity
Listings vs a year ago
+10.3%
Days on market
59
Listings with a price cut
30.2%
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Homes for sale
17,649
Pending sales per 100 listings
25
Asking price per sq ft
$274
People and jobs
Median household income
$90,919
Population change (1 year)
+0.8%
Unemployment rate
4.5%
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Population
4,689,558
Income adjusted for cost of living
$88,015
Net moves in (IRS)
+4,209
Cost of living (US = 100)
103.3
Schools, risk and environment
School rating (1 to 10)
6.6
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)
99.9
Unhealthy air days a year
38
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Flood risk score
99.9
Wildfire risk score
99.6
Walkability (1 to 20)
11.1
Road, rail and air noise
54 dB
Questions people ask
Is Maricopa County, AZ overvalued?
Home prices in Maricopa County, AZ are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $427,466, so the area is 6.5% overvalued.
Is Maricopa County, AZ a buyer's or seller's market?
Maricopa County, AZ is a buyer's market: homes take about 59 days to sell, listings are up 10% from a year ago, 30% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Maricopa County, AZ?
Home values in Maricopa County, AZ are down 0.9% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is −1.8%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Maricopa County, AZ?
A household needs about $98,671 a year to afford the typical home in Maricopa County, AZ at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $90,919.