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Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$988,948+4.3% YoY · prices are rising fast
Market right nowBalanced, leaning sellersMore homes for sale than last year, 17% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$214,383About 2.3× the local median income ($94,572): hard to afford
Days on market58 daysFaster than a year ago: sellers have the edge
Next 12 months+1.9%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA is worth $988,948, up 4.3% from a year ago. That is well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $852,393, so the area is 16.0% overvalued. It is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 58 days to sell, listings are up 7% from a year ago, 17% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 1.9% over the next year. A household needs about $214,383 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $94,572. Typical rent is $3,279 a month, or $4,771 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 3,510 more people moved out than in.

Home value over time

$0K$200K$400K$600K$800K$1.0M19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$988,948
Change in 1 year+4.3%
Overvalued %+16.0%
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Fair home value$852,393
Change in 5 years+30.2%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+1.9%
Home value to income10.5×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$5,360
Income needed to afford it$214,383
Property tax rate0.65%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$3,279
Typical rent for houses$4,771
Price-to-rent ratio25.1×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$3,106
Gross rental yield3.98%
Cap rate (estimate)2.59%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+7.3%
Days on market58
Listings with a price cut16.9%
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Homes for sale709
Pending sales per 100 listings33
Asking price per sq ft$817

People and jobs

Median household income$94,572
Population change (1 year)−0.2%
Unemployment rate6.4%
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Population442,065
Income adjusted for cost of living$86,923
Net moves in (IRS)−3,510
Cost of living (US = 100)108.8

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)4.7
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)99.0
Unhealthy air days a year0
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Flood risk score98.6
Wildfire risk score99.2
Walkability (1 to 20)10.8
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA overvalued?
Home prices in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA are well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $852,393, so the area is 16.0% overvalued.
Is Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA a buyer's or seller's market?
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA is a balanced market, leaning toward sellers: homes take about 58 days to sell, listings are up 7% from a year ago, 17% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA?
Home values in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA are up 4.3% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +1.9%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA?
A household needs about $214,383 a year to afford the typical home in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $94,572.

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