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Dakota County, MN housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$393,429+1.4% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 25% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$85,287About 0.8× the local median income ($105,495): affordable for a typical household
Days on market40 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate
Next 12 months+1.6%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Dakota County, MN is worth $393,429, up 1.4% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $373,392, so the area is 5.4% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 40 days to sell, listings are up 42% from a year ago, 25% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 1.6% over the next year. A household needs about $85,287 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $105,495. Typical rent is $1,711 a month, or $2,408 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 1,484 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$393,429
Change in 1 year+1.4%
Overvalued %+5.4%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$373,392
Change in 5 years+10.4%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+1.6%
Home value to income3.7×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,132
Income needed to afford it$85,287
Property tax rate0.98%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,711
Typical rent for houses$2,408
Price-to-rent ratio19.2×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,734
Gross rental yield5.22%
Cap rate (estimate)3.39%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+41.7%
Days on market40
Listings with a price cut24.9%
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Homes for sale1,433
Pending sales per 100 listings27
Asking price per sq ft$191

People and jobs

Median household income$105,495
Population change (1 year)+0.9%
Unemployment rate3.6%
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Population457,710
Income adjusted for cost of living$100,663
Net moves in (IRS)+1,484
Cost of living (US = 100)104.8

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.8
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)89.5
Unhealthy air days a year10
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Flood risk score88.7
Wildfire risk score39.6
Walkability (1 to 20)9.8
Road, rail and air noise53 dB

Questions people ask

Is Dakota County, MN overvalued?
Home prices in Dakota County, MN are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $373,392, so the area is 5.4% overvalued.
Is Dakota County, MN a buyer's or seller's market?
Dakota County, MN is a buyer's market: homes take about 40 days to sell, listings are up 42% from a year ago, 25% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Dakota County, MN?
Home values in Dakota County, MN are up 1.4% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +1.6%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Dakota County, MN?
A household needs about $85,287 a year to afford the typical home in Dakota County, MN at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $105,495.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Dakota County (open on the map)

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