Open on the map

Winchester, VA-WV housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$384,629+1.4% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 27% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$83,379About 1.0× the local median income ($84,876): affordable for a typical household
Days on market50 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate
Next 12 months+2.3%Zillow expects prices to rise slightly

The typical home in Winchester, VA-WV is worth $384,629, up 1.4% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $357,860, so the area is 7.5% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 50 days to sell, listings are up 32% from a year ago, 27% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 2.3% over the next year. A household needs about $83,379 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $84,876. Typical rent is $1,825 a month, or $1,954 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 1,603 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$384,629
Change in 1 year+1.4%
Overvalued %+7.5%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$357,860
Change in 5 years+22.2%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+2.3%
Home value to income4.5×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,084
Income needed to afford it$83,379
Property tax rate0.48%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,825
Typical rent for houses$1,954
Price-to-rent ratio17.6×
Show 3 more
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,505
Gross rental yield5.70%
Cap rate (estimate)3.70%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+32.4%
Days on market50
Listings with a price cut26.9%
Show 3 more
Homes for sale605
Pending sales per 100 listings32
Asking price per sq ft$213

People and jobs

Median household income$84,876
Population change (1 year)+1.5%
Unemployment rate5.3%
Show 4 more
Population152,332
Income adjusted for cost of living$87,954
Net moves in (IRS)+1,603
Cost of living (US = 100)96.5

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)5.0
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)38.5
Unhealthy air days a year0
Show 4 more
Flood risk score55.2
Wildfire risk score47.6
Walkability (1 to 20)6.3
Road, rail and air noise55 dB

Questions people ask

Is Winchester, VA-WV overvalued?
Home prices in Winchester, VA-WV are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $357,860, so the area is 7.5% overvalued.
Is Winchester, VA-WV a buyer's or seller's market?
Winchester, VA-WV is a buyer's market: homes take about 50 days to sell, listings are up 32% from a year ago, 27% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Winchester, VA-WV?
Home values in Winchester, VA-WV are up 1.4% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +2.3%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Winchester, VA-WV?
A household needs about $83,379 a year to afford the typical home in Winchester, VA-WV at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $84,876.

Counties in this metro

See every chart for Winchester, VA-WV on the map