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Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$1,136,154+4.8% YoY · prices are rising fast
Market right nowBalanced marketMore homes for sale than last year, 22% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$246,294About 2.3× the local median income ($105,437): hard to afford
Days on market58 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months+0.3%Zillow expects prices to stay about flat

The typical home in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA is worth $1,136,154, up 4.8% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $1,055,743, so the area is 7.6% overvalued. It is a balanced market: homes take about 58 days to sell, listings are up 0% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to rise about 0.3% over the next year. A household needs about $246,294 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $105,437. Typical rent is $3,469 a month, or $4,321 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 2,053 more people moved out than in.

Home value over time

$0K$200K$400K$600K$800K$1.0M19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$1,136,154
Change in 1 year+4.8%
Overvalued %+7.6%
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Fair home value$1,055,743
Change in 5 years+11.9%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months+0.3%
Home value to income10.8×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$6,157
Income needed to afford it$246,294
Property tax rate0.64%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$3,469
Typical rent for houses$4,321
Price-to-rent ratio27.3×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$4,254
Gross rental yield3.66%
Cap rate (estimate)2.38%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+0.4%
Days on market58
Listings with a price cut22.3%
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Homes for sale509
Pending sales per 100 listings30
Asking price per sq ft$706

People and jobs

Median household income$105,437
Population change (1 year)−1.0%
Unemployment rate6.1%
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Population258,852
Income adjusted for cost of living$95,939
Net moves in (IRS)−2,053
Cost of living (US = 100)109.9

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)5.7
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)97.8
Unhealthy air days a year0
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Flood risk score96.2
Wildfire risk score97.3
Walkability (1 to 20)12.0
Road, rail and air noise55 dB

Questions people ask

Is Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA overvalued?
Home prices in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $1,055,743, so the area is 7.6% overvalued.
Is Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA a buyer's or seller's market?
Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA is a balanced market: homes take about 58 days to sell, listings are up 0% from a year ago, 22% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA?
Home values in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA are up 4.8% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is +0.3%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA?
A household needs about $246,294 a year to afford the typical home in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $105,437.

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