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Orange County, VA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$380,385+1.8% YoY · prices are rising
Market right nowBalanced, leaning buyersMore homes for sale than last year, 18% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$82,459About 0.9× the local median income ($87,969): affordable for a typical household
Days on market64 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate

The typical home in Orange County, VA is worth $380,385, up 1.8% from a year ago. That is well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $311,267, so the area is 22.2% overvalued. It is a balanced market, leaning toward buyers: homes take about 64 days to sell, listings are up 19% from a year ago, 18% of listings have had a price cut. A household needs about $82,459 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $87,969. Typical rent is $2,050 a month. In the latest IRS figures, 433 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K1990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$380,385
Change in 1 year+1.8%
Overvalued %+22.2%
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Fair home value$311,267
Change in 5 years+23.9%
Home value to income4.3×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,061
Income needed to afford it$82,459
Property tax rate0.55%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$2,050
Price-to-rent ratio15.5×
HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,262
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Gross rental yield6.47%
Cap rate (estimate)4.20%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+19.2%
Days on market64
Listings with a price cut17.7%
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Homes for sale248
Pending sales per 100 listings31
Asking price per sq ft$225

People and jobs

Median household income$87,969
Population change (1 year)+2.3%
Unemployment rate3.4%
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Population40,083
Income adjusted for cost of living$99,512
Net moves in (IRS)+433
Cost of living (US = 100)88.4

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)6.0
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)25.6
Flood risk score35.6
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Wildfire risk score30.6
Walkability (1 to 20)5.4
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Orange County, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Orange County, VA are well above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $311,267, so the area is 22.2% overvalued.
Is Orange County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Orange County, VA is a balanced market, leaning toward buyers: homes take about 64 days to sell, listings are up 19% from a year ago, 18% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Orange County, VA?
Home values in Orange County, VA are up 1.8% over the last year.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Orange County, VA?
A household needs about $82,459 a year to afford the typical home in Orange County, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $87,969.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Orange County (open on the map)

See every chart for Orange County, VA on the map