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Lancaster County, VA housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$397,428+5.6% YoY · prices are rising fast
Market right nowBalanced marketMore homes for sale than last year, 15% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$86,154About 1.2× the local median income ($69,909): a stretch for a typical household
Days on market89 daysSlower than a year ago: buyers have time to negotiate

The typical home in Lancaster County, VA is worth $397,428, up 5.6% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $396,917, so the area is 0.1% overvalued. It is a balanced market: homes take about 89 days to sell, listings are up 43% from a year ago, 15% of listings have had a price cut. A household needs about $86,154 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $69,909. In the latest IRS figures, 221 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$397,428
Change in 1 year+5.6%
Overvalued %+0.1%
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Fair home value$396,917
Change in 5 years+28.4%
Home value to income5.7×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$2,154
Income needed to afford it$86,154
Property tax rate0.48%

Rent and investing

HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,091

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+42.9%
Days on market89
Listings with a price cut15.3%
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Homes for sale120
Pending sales per 100 listings26
Asking price per sq ft$250

People and jobs

Median household income$69,909
Population change (1 year)+0.2%
Unemployment rate9.6%
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Population10,995
Income adjusted for cost of living$79,083
Net moves in (IRS)+221
Cost of living (US = 100)88.4

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)2.0
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)32.3
Flood risk score60.6
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Wildfire risk score18.4
Walkability (1 to 20)6.0
Road, rail and air noise54 dB

Questions people ask

Is Lancaster County, VA overvalued?
Home prices in Lancaster County, VA are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $396,917, so the area is 0.1% overvalued.
Is Lancaster County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
Lancaster County, VA is a balanced market: homes take about 89 days to sell, listings are up 43% from a year ago, 15% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Lancaster County, VA?
Home values in Lancaster County, VA are up 5.6% over the last year.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Lancaster County, VA?
A household needs about $86,154 a year to afford the typical home in Lancaster County, VA at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $69,909.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Lancaster County (open on the map)

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