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Pasco County, FL housing market

Data through September 2026 · updated 2026-11-07 · free, from Zillow, Realtor.com, the Census Bureau and other public sources

Typical home value$328,125−1.9% YoY · prices are falling
Market right nowBuyer's marketMore homes for sale than last year, 27% have cut their price
Income needed to buy, per year$71,131About 1.0× the local median income ($72,562): affordable for a typical household
Days on market79 daysAbout the same pace as a year ago
Next 12 months−1.7%Zillow expects prices to dip slightly

The typical home in Pasco County, FL is worth $328,125, down 1.9% from a year ago. That is slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $311,987, so the area is 5.2% overvalued. It is a buyer's market: homes take about 79 days to sell, listings are up 4% from a year ago, 27% of listings have had a price cut. Zillow expects prices to fall about 1.7% over the next year. A household needs about $71,131 a year to afford the typical home here at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $72,562. Typical rent is $1,985 a month, or $2,383 for a house. In the latest IRS figures, 18,430 more people moved in than out.

Home value over time

$0K$100K$200K$300K19801990200020102020
Solid: typical home value · dashed: fair value (household income × the 20-year average price-to-income ratio). Sources: FHFA, Zillow, U.S. Census Bureau.

Prices and affordability

Typical home value$328,125
Change in 1 year−1.9%
Overvalued %+5.2%
Show 7 more
Fair home value$311,987
Change in 5 years+13.8%
Zillow forecast, next 12 months−1.7%
Home value to income4.5×
Monthly mortgage payment (20% down)$1,778
Income needed to afford it$71,131
Property tax rate0.73%

Rent and investing

Typical rent$1,985
Typical rent for houses$2,383
Price-to-rent ratio13.8×
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HUD Fair Market Rent, 2 bedrooms$1,917
Gross rental yield7.26%
Cap rate (estimate)4.72%

Market activity

Listings vs a year ago+4.3%
Days on market79
Listings with a price cut27.1%
Show 3 more
Homes for sale3,829
Pending sales per 100 listings30
Asking price per sq ft$198

People and jobs

Median household income$72,562
Population change (1 year)+2.8%
Unemployment rate4.9%
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Population674,516
Income adjusted for cost of living$71,915
Net moves in (IRS)+18,430
Cost of living (US = 100)100.9

Schools, risk and environment

School rating (1 to 10)5.7
FEMA hazard risk score (0 to 100)96.0
Unhealthy air days a year1
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Flood risk score95.4
Wildfire risk score95.4
Walkability (1 to 20)8.7
Road, rail and air noise55 dB

Questions people ask

Is Pasco County, FL overvalued?
Home prices in Pasco County, FL are slightly above what local incomes have historically supported: fair value is about $311,987, so the area is 5.2% overvalued.
Is Pasco County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?
Pasco County, FL is a buyer's market: homes take about 79 days to sell, listings are up 4% from a year ago, 27% of listings have had a price cut.
Are home prices going down in Pasco County, FL?
Home values in Pasco County, FL are down 1.9% over the last year. Zillow's forecast for the next 12 months is −1.7%.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home in Pasco County, FL?
A household needs about $71,131 a year to afford the typical home in Pasco County, FL at today's 7.18% mortgage rate (20% down, payment at 30% of income); the median household earns $72,562.

Nearby and similar counties

ZIP codes in Pasco County (open on the map)

See every chart for Pasco County, FL on the map